Stratfor emails of interest

Anonymous · Nov 17, 2013

Most of the Stratfor emails are boring. A few are not. This thread is for those few. Search for them here:
https://search.wikileaks.org/gifiles

Anonymous · Nov 17, 2013

This email confirms CIA passively allowing opium trafficking from Afghanistan.
https://search.wikileaks.org/gifiles/?viewemailid=1890999

RE: Humint - Afghanistan - Karzai (Strictly Protect - Confidential)
Released on 2012-09-18 00:00 GMT
Email-ID 5522439
Date 2007-06-15 00:57:19
From burton@stratfor.com
To reva.bhalla@stratfor.com, secure@stratfor.com

Was described to me as close. Karzai will end up being another Noreiga.

Off the record --

DEA will proceed and take 'em (both?) down anyway, once this White House
disappears.

As I've said before, every country we have touched, turns to shit.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

From: Reva Bhalla [mailto:reva.bhalla@stratfor.com]
Sent: Thursday, June 14, 2007 5:52 PM
To: 'Fred Burton'; 'Secure List'
Subject: RE: Humint - Afghanistan - Karzai (Strictly Protect -
Confidential)
how close is karzai to this brother?

----------------------------------------------------------------------

From: Fred Burton [mailto:burton@stratfor.com]
Sent: Thursday, June 14, 2007 5:42 PM
To: 'Secure List'
Subject: Humint - Afghanistan - Karzai (Strictly Protect - Confidential)
(Strictly Protect - Confidential - For Our Internal Use Only - Do Not
Forward)

The brother of President Karzai of Afghanistan is under investigation by
DEA as a major narcotics trafficker. For political reasons, DEA has been
told to backoff by the White House and CIA. DEA is seeing a direct nexus
between terrorism and narcotics in Afghanistan with narcotics sales being
used to fund jihadist operations.

xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

Imbedded DEA agents in CT ops in Afghanistan have turned up loads of
threat information and DEA sources are being used to ferret out jihadis.
Several US soldier lives were recently saved (this week) based on DEA
source information and safehouse raids in Afghanistan. SpecOps in
Afghanistan are using imbeds from DEA and ATF. FBI and ATF IED techs are
also being imbedded to learn the latest IED technology in anticipation of
the devices (eventually) showing up in CONUS.

Anonymous · Nov 17, 2013

A discussion about how the CIA monitors social media to measure public opinion.

https://search.wikileaks.org/gifiles/?viewemailid=5340082

Re: [CT] US/SECURITY - AP Exclusive: CIA following Twitter, Facebook
Released on 2012-09-16 00:00 GMT
Email-ID 5340082
Date 2011-11-04 18:55:26
From stewart@stratfor.com
To ct@stratfor.com, sean.noonan@stratfor.com
No, not OSC
From: Sean Noonan <sean.noonan@stratfor.com>
Reply-To: <sean.noonan@stratfor.com>, CT AOR <ct@stratfor.com>
Date: Fri, 4 Nov 2011 17:50:07 +0000
To: CT AOR <ct@stratfor.com>
Subject: Re: [CT] US/SECURITY - AP Exclusive: CIA following Twitter,
Facebook
By the CIA OSC?
----------------------------------------------------------------------

From: scott stewart <stewart@stratfor.com>
Sender: ct-bounces@stratfor.com
Date: Fri, 4 Nov 2011 12:49:21 -0500 (CDT)
To: CT AOR<ct@stratfor.com>
ReplyTo: CT AOR <ct@stratfor.com>
Subject: Re: [CT] US/SECURITY - AP Exclusive: CIA following Twitter,
Facebook

3. Don't bet on it. It's just better hidden.

From: Sean Noonan <sean.noonan@stratfor.com>
Reply-To: CT AOR <ct@stratfor.com>
Date: Fri, 4 Nov 2011 12:47:03 -0500 (CDT)
To: CT AOR <ct@stratfor.com>
Subject: Re: [CT] US/SECURITY - AP Exclusive: CIA following Twitter,
Facebook

3 things
1. Their job is very very similar to ours with better resources and
different requirements
2. Note how they use, caveat, and compare their monitoring of social media
3. There is no organized monitoring of US domestic social media

----------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Ryan Abbey" <ryan.abbey@stratfor.com>
To: "CT AOR" <ct@stratfor.com>
Sent: Friday, November 4, 2011 9:48:12 AM
Subject: [CT] US/SECURITY - AP Exclusive: CIA following Twitter, Facebook

Have suspected this, but provides an idea of the scope of the
surveillance.

CIA Open Source Center in charge of following these social websites. Used
to provide a quick sweep of reaction to world events. Have several
hundred analysts. Follow about 5 million tweets a day. The listed
examples were to the death of UBL, social responses to Obama's Middle East
speech. Started to use this media after the Green Revo. in Iran and how
Twitter impacted that. Thought that they would have started monitoring
these sites in a systematic way before that.

AP Exclusive: CIA following Twitter, Facebook

By KIMBERLY DOZIER
AP Intelligence Writer

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/storie...ME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2011-11-04-04-10-29

QuantcastQuantcast

McLEAN, Va. (AP) -- In an anonymous industrial park in Virginia, in an unassuming brick building, the CIA is following tweets - up to 5 million a day.

At the agency's Open Source Center, a team known affectionately as the "vengeful librarians" also pores over Facebook, newspapers, TV news channels, local radio stations, Internet chat rooms - anything overseas that anyone can access and contribute to openly.

From Arabic to Mandarin Chinese, from an angry tweet to a thoughtful blog, the analysts gather the information, often in native tongue. They cross-reference it with the local newspaper or a clandestinely intercepted phone conversation. From there, they build a picture sought by the highest levels at the White House, giving a real-time peek, for example, at the mood of a region after the Navy SEAL raid that killed Osama bin Laden or perhaps a prediction of which Mideast nation seems ripe for revolt.

Yes, they saw the uprising in Egypt coming; they just didn't know exactly when revolution might hit, said the center's director, Doug Naquin.

The center already had "predicted that social media in places like Egypt could be a game-changer and a threat to the regime," he said in a recent interview with The Associated Press at the center. CIA officials said it was the first such visit by a reporter the agency has ever granted.

The CIA facility was set up in response to a recommendation by the 9/11 Commission, with its first priority to focus on counterterrorism and counterproliferation. But its several hundred analysts - the actual number is classified - track a broad range, from Chinese Internet access to the mood on the street in Pakistan.

While most are based in Virginia, the analysts also are scattered throughout U.S. embassies worldwide to get a step closer to the pulse of their subjects.

The most successful analysts, Naquin said, are something like the heroine of the crime novel "The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo," a quirky, irreverent computer hacker who "knows how to find stuff other people don't know exists."

Those with a masters' degree in library science and multiple languages, especially those who grew up speaking another language, "make a powerful open source officer," Naquin said.

The center had started focusing on social media after watching the Twitter-sphere rock the Iranian regime during the Green Revolution of 2009, when thousands protested the results of the elections that put Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad back in power. "Farsi was the third largest presence in social media blogs at the time on the Web," Naquin said.

The center's analysis ends up in President Barack Obama's daily intelligence briefing in one form or another, almost every day.

After bin Laden was killed in Pakistan in May, the CIA followed Twitter to give the White House a snapshot of world public opinion.

Since tweets can't necessarily be pegged to a geographic location, the analysts broke down reaction by languages. The result: The majority of Urdu tweets, the language of Pakistan, and Chinese tweets, were negative. China is a close ally of Pakistan's. Pakistani officials protested the raid as an affront to their nation's sovereignty, a sore point that continues to complicate U.S.-Pakistani relations.

When the president gave his speech addressing Mideast issues a few weeks after the raid, the tweet response over the next 24 hours came in negative from Turkey, Egypt, Yemen, Algeria, the Persian Gulf and Israel, too, with speakers of Arabic and Turkic tweets charging that Obama favored Israel, and Hebrew tweets denouncing the speech as pro-Arab.

In the next few days, major news media came to the same conclusion, as did analysis by the covert side of U.S. intelligence based on intercepts and human intelligence gathered in the region.

The center is also in the process of comparing its social media results with the track record of polling organizations, trying to see which produces more accurate results, Naquin said.

"We do what we can to caveat that we may be getting an overrepresentation of the urban elite," said Naquin, acknowledging that only a small slice of the population in many areas they are monitoring has access to computers and Internet. But he points out that access to social media sites via cellphones is growing in areas like Africa, meaning a "wider portion of the population than you might expect is sounding off and holding forth than it might appear if you count the Internet hookups in a given country."

Sites like Facebook and Twitter also have become a key resource for following a fast-moving crisis such as the riots that raged across Bangkok in April and May of last year, the center's deputy director said. The Associated Press agreed not to identify him because he sometimes still works undercover in foreign countries.

As director, Naquin is identified publicly by the agency although the location of the center is kept secret to deter attacks, whether physical or electronic.

The deputy director was one of a skeleton crew of 20 U.S. government employees who kept the U.S. Embassy in Bangkok running throughout the rioting as protesters surged through the streets, swarming the embassy neighborhood and trapping U.S. diplomats and Thais alike in their homes.

The army moved in, and traditional media reporting slowed to a trickle as local reporters were either trapped or cowed by government forces.

"But within an hour, it was all surging out on Twitter and Facebook," the deputy director said. The CIA homed in on 12 to 15 users who tweeted situation reports and cellphone photos of demonstrations. The CIA staff cross-referenced the tweeters with the limited news reports to figure out who among them was providing reliable information. Tweeters also policed themselves, pointing out when someone else had filed an inaccurate account.

"That helped us narrow down to those dozen we could count on," he said.

Ultimately, some two-thirds of the reports coming out of the embassy being sent back to all branches of government in Washington came from the CIA's open source analysis throughout the crisis.

CIA eyes 5 million tweets a day

By TIM MAK | 11/4/11 9:26 AM EDT

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1111/67619.html

The Central Intelligence Agency is systematically monitoring Twitter,
following up to 5 million tweets a day, according to a new report.

The CIA's Open Source Center reviews and analyzes information widely
available to the general public, including Twitter and Facebook, and keeps
eyes on everything from blogs to tweets to more traditional media, the
Associated Press says in a feature article on the unit.

Analysts monitor information in a wide array of languages and
cross-reference it to existing intelligence, and are often called upon to
provide information on the mood of a region after a foreign policy event.

For example, the Open Source Center built a picture of the real-time
reaction from the Middle East after the killing of Osama bin Laden in May
to give the White House an idea of public opinion.

When President Barack Obama gave a speech addressing Middle Eastern issues
a few weeks later, the center monitored negative Arabic and Turkic tweets
denouncing the president as too pro-Israel, and Hebrew tweets criticizing
the president for being too pro-Arab.

The center's of analysis ends up in Obama's daily intelligence briefing in
some form almost every day, reports the AP.

The CIA started reviewing social media after watching Twitter's influence
during the 2009 Green Revolution in Iran, when thousands protested the
contested results of an election that kept Iranian President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad in office.

Read more:
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1111/67619.html#ixzz1ckMz0sdB

--
Ryan Abbey
Tactical Intern
STRATFOR
www.STRATFOR.com

--
Sean Noonan
Tactical Analyst
Office: +1 512-279-9479
Mobile: +1 512-758-5967
Strategic Forecasting, Inc.
www.stratfor.com

Anonymous · Nov 17, 2013

20 emails related to Barrett Brown v Zetas.

https://search.wikileaks.org/gifiles/?relid=438#searchresult

Click the document number to the left of each entry to expand an email.

Some comments:

Ben and STRATOR are mentioned Also, I think I think it is funny the man states he thinks he has the right as a fairly public person to be able to work to ID criminals in a foreign country without having to worry about being murdered....I wouldn't put it past the Zetas.

Yep, it'll be like a Wikileaks thing showing everyone's info. Going to turn good. Maybe they leak what is Calderon's favorite drink ha.

On 11/9/11 11:36 AM, Karen Hooper wrote:
This could be a really fun addition to the normal election shenanegans. I wonder if rival parties could use Anonymous as a source to leak info to.

JohnnyRUClear · Nov 18, 2013

Anonymous said: ↑

A discussion about how the CIA monitors social media to measure public opinion.

https://search.wikileaks.org/gifiles/?viewemailid=5340082

Here's the most important sentence in all of that:

"Tweeters also policed themselves, pointing out when someone else had filed an inaccurate account."

The CIA is yesterday.

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Stratfor emails of interest

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